With the permission of the Ceann Comhairle, I propose to take Question Nos. 7 and 8 together.
I am not convinced that, in the circumstances of the Irish market, a State-sponsored motor insurance scheme would have the effect of reducing the rate of premium increases.
There are 25 authorised motor insurers in Ireland and I recognise that one company, through the operation of market forces, has grown to hold a large part of the market for private motor insurance but the share held by many other insurers is quite significant. I consider that the interests of the motorist are best served by trying to ensure that an open active competitive market in motor insurance is brought about.
In 1978 the increases in motor insurance premiums approved were: (a) in respect of one insurer of motor cycles—18 per cent; (b) in respect of ten insurers of cars and commercial vehicles—average increases of from 5 per cent to 35 per cent.
Within the overall limits of the increase in premium income to arise in each case from these average increases, each company was allowed to vary the rates of increase as between the different sectors of its motor premium account.
In 1979, the increases approved were: (a) in respect of one insurer of motor cycles—30 per cent; (b) in respect of nine insurers of cars and commercial vehicles—average increases of from 10 per cent to 26 per cent.
The spreading of the average increases at varying rates between the different sectors of the companies motor premium accounts was again permitted.
Because the third-party element represents the greatest risk and attracts the heaviest claims, the application of the average increases at varying rates to the different sectors resulted in increases in third party insurance higher than the overall average increases permitted to the companies. Thus, the increases in third party rates ranged in 1978 from 5 per cent to 50 per cent and in 1979 from 10 per cent to 31.5 per cent. Where the policy provided more than third-party cover the increases were less than the average permitted and in some cases there were decreases in respect of the rates for fire-and-theft and accidental damage.
The increases approved were necessary to enable the motor insurers concerned to offset continuing and increasing losses arising on the underwriting of motor insurance risks. These losses arose directly from the continuing growth in the cost of claims which rose by 28.4 per cent in 1977 and by 41.8 per cent in 1978. In considering the rate of increase in motor insurance premiums I regard the consumer price index as having a very limited value indeed. The increases in premium income for any year must take into account the full estimated cost of settling all claims then outstanding, or to be incurred, over the following two to five years on current policies.