Since I made the comments referred to in the question the preliminary estimates of the labour force at mid-April 1990 have been announced. The estimates show an increase of 30,000 in the number at work and a fall of 19,000 in the number unemployed as compared with the 1989 estimates. Employment in industry has increased by 16,000 and, in the private services sector by 15,000. There was a decline of 3,000 in the public sector.
These employment increases are attributable largely to the Programme for National Recovery negotiated in October 1987 and the increased investment accompanying the programme. Despite these favourable trends, there are certain features of the present situation which are a source of concern. Unemployment at 218,000 is still at an unacceptably high level. Future expectations are for an annual labour force increase of about 25,000.
While emigration declined by 15,000 in the year ended mid-April 1990, the figure of 31,000 is unacceptably high. Too many of our talented and highly qualified young people are opting for employment abroad. Irish companies will have to improve their recruitment practices if they are to attract and retain graduates from third level education. There also seems to be a reluctance among some employers to recruit people from the live register.
As regards the future, economic and employment growth will continue to be influenced by developments abroad. The global economic outlook is now less promising than earlier in the year due to the impact of higher oil prices, the instability generated by the Gulf crisis, the decline in the UK and US economies and the uncertainties occasioned by German reunification. As a result, there are some indications of a slowdown in domestic growth since mid-year.
Against the background that I have outlined it is obvious that our job creation efforts will have to remain at a high level of intensity if we are to make further progress in reducing unemployment and emigration. Action in this area requires the full co-operation of all interests but especially the social partners.
We must develop a strong internationally competitive economy geared to maximising employment growth. This involves a coherent strategy spanning industrial, agricultural, labour market and other relevant policy areas. Particular emphasis has to be placed on indigenous industry, mainly comprising small and medium-sized businesses, together with the continued attraction of overseas investment to facilitate technology transfer as well as expanding employment.
We have to bear in mind that there are almost 1,000 overseas firms operating here employing 90,000 workers representing 40 per cent of the industrial workforce. We need overseas investment in manufacturing and internationally traded services but we have to deepen the linkages of overseas firms in the domestic economy.
The Government's concern is to continue to provide an environment conducive to the expansion of business and employment. This is the approach that has influenced the Government's stance in the negotiations on a programme of economic and social development. Employment and job creation are featuring prominently in these discussions.