I move:
That a sum not exceeding £182,942,000 be granted to defray the charge which will come in course of payment during the year ending on the 31st day of December, 1992, for the salaries and expenses of the Office of the Minister for Agriculture and Food, including certain services administered by that Office, and of the Irish Land Commission and for payment of certain grants, subsidies and sundry grants-in-aid.
This year's Estimate is for a gross amount of £475 million. As I have indicated on previous occasions, this represents only a portion of the overall expenditure of the Department of Agriculture and Food. In addition, my Department spend well more than £1,200 million each year from the EC budget for the benefit of Irish farmers and traders and, on average, another £500 million funded from borrowings on the intervention purchase, processing and storage of agricultural commodities. The position at the end of 1991 was that intervention stocks amounted to 247,000 tonnes of beef, 292,000 tonnes of dairy products and 84,000 tonnes of cereals.
The year 1991 was again a difficult year for the economy generally and for the agricultural sector in particular. I am glad to say, however, that in recent months, some positive indications have emerged.
It now seems likely that the volume of GNP grew by about 1.5 per cent in 1991. Our export performance was particularly impressive and this combined with improved earnings from services and increased EC transfers, produced an external current account surplus of £1,200 million or 5 per cent of GNP.
The volume of GNP is set to expand rapidly in 1992 but is unlikely to exceed 2.5 per cent. This growth rate is based on an improvement in both domestic and external demand.
Good news for the overall economy is good news for the farm economy. In recent months, there have been a number of positive developments for the farm sector. The market balance for the main dairy products has improved, and EC stocks of butter and skim milk powder have declined. The price of milk has risen in consequence, and average milk prices in 1992 should be higher than in 1991.
There is also expected to be a rise in world trade in beef during 1992. In particular, a more buoyant Middle East market is expected with imports forecast to increase. The expected improvement in the supply and demand position should mean that prices will be at least held at 1991 levels during 1992. This is a very positive development towards stabilised price levels. Pigmeat production and prices are expected to increase in 1992.
Overall, then, I would expect that farm income levels in 1992 should be somewhat improved by comparison to 1991. I expect also that the level of direct subsidies will increase in 1992 following increases in the rates and scope of payments under the disadvantaged areas scheme. In addition, the various rural development measures and schemes, including Leader and the national rural development programme, should strengthen the income and employment situation in rural areas.
The recent outcome of the Common Agricultural Policy reform negotiations has ended the uncertainty that had existed in the agricultural sector for more than 18 months. This should help to stabilise farm incomes and enable the agriculture and food sector to continue to contribute to the overall wellbeing of our national economy.
There is little doubt that the economic environment within which farmers will operate will become increasingly competitive. The challenges which this presents must be faced. The Programme for Economic and Social Reform provides that a new development programme for the agricultural and food sector should be negotiated between the Department and the farm organisations. I am glad to say that work on this is proceeding, taking account of the Common Agricultural Policy reform decisions. The Culliton report recommended that a development plan for the food industry should be drawn up by an expert group. I have recently set up such a group including farmers, manufacturers, retailers and the State sector, and have asked them to report before the end of the year.
There can be few who are unaware at this stage of the importance of the agrifood sector to Ireland. Accounting as it does for about £6 billion or almost one-third of our total manufacturing output, and making a significant contribution to employment and our positive balance of trade, it is easily the single most important industry in the economy. It is important, therefore, for the well-being of the whole country that the industry is given every opportunity and encouragement to achieve increased growth and employment.
The food industry is experiencing major changes both at national and international levels. It is steeling itself to face the many challenges being presented by the reform of the Common Agricultural Policy, GATT, the environment, the safety of food and the advent of the Single Market. Food producers and processors in Ireland and elsewhere are having to answer key questions on what, when and how food should be produced in the future. One thing is abundantly clear, the food industry cannot continue as heretofore producing commodity goods for which there are no markets with an over-reliance on intervention. The future lies in the marketplace. The industry must develop an effective market driven policy, which is fully conscious and sensitive to the demands of the consumer.
It is consumers who are setting the future agenda for the food industry. They are becoming more sophisticated in their tastes and preferences and are becoming increasingly interested in how their food is produced. They are more aware of the environmental impact of food production at all levels of the food chain and are placing greater emphasis on quality and hygiene. If Irish food companies are to survive in the marketplace, they must learn to satisfy these demands. It is interesting to note, however, that the Culliton report sees this increased level of consumer awareness as an opportunity for Irish food producers to promote Ireland's unique position as a producer of high quality, environmentally friendly and safe food, while at the same time placing some constraints on those countries more involved in intensive production.
The Irish food industry must prepare itself to take full advantage of this opportunity. We must adopt a truly European focus which is market driven, which may well entail alliances such as joint ventures and partnerships which can lengthen the reach of small companies and shorten their learning curve. We must invest much more financial and human resources in marketing and research and development. Less than 1 per cent of net output in the case of the food, drink and tobacco sector is currently invested in this area. This is totally inadequate.
There is an extensive range of European Community schemes and programmes promoting R & D which would have interest for the Irish food industry. Programmes such as Flair and Eclair, which are normally 50 per cent funded by the European Community, provide ideal opportunities for Irish companies to become directly involved in R & D projects which would otherwise prove too costly. Sadly, participation by Irish food companies in such programmes, however, has been disappointing in the past but I would hope that this will be rectified in the future.
Government policy over the last number of years has focused on developing market-led, internationally competitive food companies. Our approach and that of the grant-giving State agencies has been to support those companies who fit or have the potential to fit this mould. The Government will be continuing with this policy in an effort to move away from bulk production of intervention products. Ultimately, however, success lies in the hands of the industry itself. It must listen and respond positively to the needs of the consumer if it is to achieve its full potential.
I can hardly speak on agriculture without referring to Common Agricultural Policy reform. I spoke in this House at some length on this subject just two weeks ago so I do not propose to dwell overlong on it at this stage. However, we cannot ignore the fact that the reforms agreed will influence the production decisions of farmers for the foreseeable future. The reform will also influence the management decisions of our agribusinesses.
Under the new arrangements, direct payments, headage and premia, to Irish farmers will be in the order of £650 million in the first full year after reform. I am sure in these circumstances that Deputies and farmers generally will welcome the user-friendly approach to those schemes which I announced last week. I have made arrangements to have a copy deposited in the pigeonholes for each Deputy and Senator.
While the original Commission proposals could have involved net losses of some £94 million, the Department's initial quantification of the reform package is that there will be a net gain in the order of £70 million for farmers compared with the 1991 situation. There will also be a substantial consumer gain, estimated by independent economists, at £100 million per annum. I have already had a meeting with my colleague, the Minister of State at the Department of Industry and Commerce, Deputy O'Rourke, to set in train a mechanism that will try to ensure that the gains will be reflected in the shopping baskets of her consumers.
These estimates do not of course take account of productivity gains or changes in production systems which farmers will make in response to the new situation. Neither do they take account of the new incentive for the beef sector to become more market oriented. The foundation has now been laid for the future. It is now up to our farmers and agriculture based industry to take up the challenge and gain access to markets both inside and outside the Community.
I should also like to refer to the durability of the compensatory arrangements. While practically all sides agree that the compensatory arrangements are more than adequate, some concern has been expressed as to whether such supports can be maintained in the future. This concern relates mainly to what might arise from the GATT negotiations. In an ideal situation, it would have been better if the two sets of negotiations had been finalised in tandem. However, the GATT negotiations became somewhat bogged down and when it was clear that there would not be an early agreement, the Community had to decide if it should proceed with Common Agricultural Policy reform independently. It was decided to press ahead with Common Agricultural Policy reform and I fully supported that decision.
It appears to me now that the completion of the reform negotiations has given the Community an advantage in the Uruguay Round negotiations. We have made clear to the other 90 or so countries involved in those negotiations that we are prepared to put our house in order. It is now up to them to do likewise.
Another point to bear in mind is that had the GATT negotiations finished ahead of the reform of the Common Agricultural Policy the results would have had to be taken into account in the Common Agricultural Policy reform negotiations. Now the situation is reversed. The results of Common Agricultural Policy reform cannot be ignored by any side in the GATT negotiations. We have firm assurances from the Com- missioner that the necessary budgetary resources will be provided and that he will defend the compensatory payments in the GATT context. In any event, I cannot see any of my colleagues in the Council allowing that agreement to be unravelled in the context of the GATT negotiations. I certainly will not stand for any such occurrence.
One other issue I would like to mention is the criticism of so-called "cheque in the post" farming. By lowering support prices for the major products, Common Agricultural Policy reform has made Community produce more competitive on world markets and more accessible to consumers within the Community. However, there is no point in trying to make farm produce more competitive if at the same time you drive farmers out of business. Compensation for the decreased prices is necessary and has been provided. The added value of direct payments to farmers is that the money goes directly to them and does not get caught up in or grabbed by intermediate services or middle-men.
It has to be remembered that one of the aims of Common Agricultural Policy reform is to keep a sufficient number of farmers on the land. I fully subscribe to this aim. Many of our farmers are operating at subsistence level or below in terms of income from their farms. They make ends meet by their off-farm activities but sadly there is not enough alternative full-time employment available in rural areas. I hope the recently announced Teagasc small farm development programme, which is available free of charge, will be of considerable benefit to this sector. The direct payment system will, at least, provide such farmers with some guaranteed income. Of course, if Common Agricultural Policy reform had not taken the direction of substituting, to an extent, direct payment for market price supports, budgetary pressures within the Community would have led to increasing levels of price reduction without compensation. This would in the short term have had a devastating effect on our rural communities.
In further recognition of the role of farmers as protectors of the environment, the Common Agricultural Policy reform measures recently approved include a substantial agri-environment programme. This is designed to compensate farmers who are prepared to adopt farming practices which are particularly environmentally friendly. When the details are finalised at EC level, this programme should enable us to implement a more comprehensive agri-environment scheme than our present rather limited environmentally sensitive areas scheme.
The accompanying measures also include a scheme for early retirement for farmers which I expect to be of some benefit here in Ireland, though here again the detailed application measures will take some time to finalise. We will be having detailed discussions with the European Commission when we are drawing up specific national programmes for these two measures. In these discussions we will, of course, be highlighting matters of concern to this country so as to ensure that we can, in practice, gain maximum benefit from the schemes.
Turning now to the individual sectors of agriculture, I am glad to note that in recent weeks cattle prices have firmed up. This increase in prices, which is so vital to the viability of the winter fattener, was influenced by the successful approaches to the European Commission to buy more realistic quantities into intervention.
The broad thrust of the Commission's reform measures in the beef sector is to get EC supports directly to the producer and reduce reliance on Community intervention. While the Community's commitment to underpinning producer income remains, it is very clear that our Community partners will not allow a situation to continue indefinitely whereby intervention remains the major outlet for our beef. In future, the Irish beef sector will be expected to make greater use of commercial outlets.
In the Common Agricultural Policy reform negotiations I vigorously resisted proposals which did not entail reasonable access to intervention as a means of supporting the market. Given the extreme difficulties which have confronted the beef sector over the past two and a half years, arising largely from the impact of BSE and the Gulf War, it is vital that intervention remains as a basic means of market support. Nevertheless, the intervention system is now to change as a result of the Common Agricultural Policy reform, and operators will have to make greater efforts at commercial marketing than they have done up to now.
I am heartened by the decision of two of the country's major co-operatives — Avonmore and Dairygold — to enter the beef sector. The Irish beef sector, by virtue of its reliance on intervention, has been somewhat weak on promotion and marketing. The arrival of these new entrants should provide the industry with much improved access to supermarket outlets in the United Kingdom and in continental Europe. The agricultural coops have demonstrated that they are international in outlook and that they have the expertise and the commitment needed to compete very well with the major international food companies. The fact that they are not single product companies — they have an involvement in both the dairy and meat processing sectors — is a decided advantage since their wide range of products will appeal to European retailers.
The target of beef producers and processors must be to concentrate Irish marketing efforts not only on the UK but also on opportunities in continental EC markets. Irish vacpac beef exports within the EC have been growing steadily. Our beef exports to quality continental outlets are receiving renewed stimulus from the launching of the CBF beef quality assurance scheme.
Even with a successful reorientation of exports towards EC outlets, the pattern of a heavy end year kill means that we will still require access to third country markets. These markets are — Deputies will appreciate — more volatile than those within the Community. They are buffeted by political as well as economic factors, particularly so in the last two years. For 1992, prospects are brighter as the work put into convincing third countries of the wholesomeness of Irish beef bears fruit.
By retaining last year's significant increase in the grant-in-aid for CBF at £1.5 million, the Government are displaying their confidence in the contribution CBF makes to Ireland's effort to become more market-led, particularly in the beef sector. Industry is playing its part by maintaining a voluntary contribution while producers, through levies, will continue to provide a major part of CBF finances. The new board of CBF have a wide range of expertise in the beef sector and in marketing quality Irish agricultural products abroad. They have a challenging task ahead. Ireland's reputation as a quality food producer is only as good as the last sale. A reputation cannot be bought. It can only be earned day by day in the market-place.
Major developments have taken place in the sheep sector over the past seven years. There has been a rapid increase in the national flock from 4.4 million in 1985 to a current record level of 9 million head. Access to the French market has resulted in a profitable return to both producers and the industry as a whole. Slaughterings for both the home and export markets came to 4.2 million head in 1991, reflecting an increase of 9 per cent on the previous year's level.
In the Common Agricultural Policy reform negotiations on the sheep sector, I succeeded in maintaining existing limits of 500 and 1,000 ewes in normal and disadvantaged areas, respectively, for the purpose of payment of the premium. Payment of 50 per cent of the premium above those levels will continue, though within the individual producer limits.
The abolition of the variable premium and the abolition of the clawback on sheepmeat exports from Britain in 1992 will result in greater competition on the French market. Clearly, the future development of the industry as a result of this and the Common Agricultural Policy reform will depend on a greater emphasis on the quality of produce and market returns than heretofore. The sheep market, always liable to fluctuations, has been going through a low price period in recent months, a period when we could be thankful for the existence of the EC premium to compensate producers. I am glad to note a very recent up-turn in lamb prices.
As for the pig sector, I am happy to report that the major development plan for the pigmeat industry, announced in 1987, is nearing completion and is proving successful. All of the new slaughtering and processing plants envisaged under the programme are now operational, as are a number of downstream processing plants. Some further processing plants are either in the course of construction or at an advanced planning stage. Investment of over £90 million, which includes substantial Exchequer and EC aid, has already been approved.
The success of the programme to date can be measured in the increasing levels of Irish pigmeat exports which in 1991 were worth over £130 million — the highest export level ever. The programme has also helped to stimulate expansion in pig numbers which now stand at 1.16 million pigs. Pig throughput has also increased very substantially, and in 1991, reached about 2.7 million pigs and it is expected that the target of three million pigs a year envisaged under the programme will soon be reached and even exceeded. As regards pig prices, these are now at a reasonably good level, having risen steadily since last autumn and the prospects for the industry in the second half of the year are positive.
Turning to the cereals sector, it has been clear for some years now that the large increase in Community cereals production and in intervention stocks could not continue.