I propose to take Questions Nos. 8, 45, 129, 143 and 145 together.
The first thing that must be said is that there has been no GATT agreement yet. The agriculture deal referred to is a draft deal negotiated between the Commission and the US negotiators. It has still to be accepted by the Council of Ministers, the US Congress and the other parties in the GATT. There are 14 other topics in the overall GATT negotiations some of which, for example services and market access, are proving equally difficult to finalise. The question of acceptance or rejection of a GATT deal will not arise therefore until an overall agreement covering all sector areas has been finalised.
My Department has carried out a preliminary analysis of the proposed deal on agriculture having regard to the Commission assessment of its compatibility with Common Agricultural Policy reform. However, there was a clear need for the Commission to provide a more detailed explanation of the agreement and to have it evaluated at Community level. Accordingly, I sought and obtained a commitment at the Council of Agriculture Ministers meeting in January that the deal would be fully evaluated by the Special Agriculture Committee, so as to ascertain its compatibility with the reformed Common Agricultural Policy. This evaluation has now been embarked on and a report will be made to the Council in due course.
My initial analysis of the draft agreement is that, while it contains improvements in relation to the Dunkel framework — for example the exemption of Common Agricultural Policy reform and disadvantaged areas payments from GATT restrictions — there are other areas where I believe the undertakings proposed would require the Community to go beyond that which would flow automatically from the Common Agricultural Policy reform decisions of last May. I am particularly concerned that the proposed 21 per cent volume reduction on subsidised exports which, when taken together with market access arrangements, could result in the Community having to reduce its beef exports well beyond what the Common Agricultural Policy reform measures would have required. Similar problems, but to a lesser degree, would also arise in the dairy sector particularly in relation to cheese exports and in the whitemeat sector. The problem is exacerbated by the requirement that exports would have to fall back to the average of 1986-88 exports in the first year of implementation.