I have seen the newspaper report referred to by the Deputy. I note that the source quoted in it was suggesting that only seven member states meeting the criteria would be needed to form the majority required for economic and monetary union (EMU) to proceed in 1997, since the United Kingdom and Denmark could be excluded from the 15 member states for this purpose as they have secured opt-outs from the Economic and Monetary Union provisions of the Treaty on European Union. I also note that a later newspaper report stated that this interpretation was speedily rejected by the President of France.
As the Deputy will be aware, the procedure for deciding on movement in 1997 to Economic and Monetary Union and a single currency is laid down in the Treaty. This provides that the decision will be made by the European Council before 31 December 1996 after it has consulted the European Parliament. The European Council will be acting on the findings of the Council of Economic and Finance Ministers (ECOFIN), which itself will be acting on a recommendation from the European Commission.The Treaty requires the Commission to assess for each member state whether it fulfils the Treaty conditions for the adoption of a single currency and whether a majority of member states meet these conditions. It is therefore these institutions, and not an anonymous source, which will make the decision on movement to Economic and Monetary Union and a single currency.I would add that in view of the number of institutions involved in making the decision and the time which must elapse before it is made, it is obviously impossible at this stage to predict the outcome of the deliberations of these institutions.