There is much ground to be covered. There were a number of questions on the overall budget and the multi-annual financial framework position. The way the EU works it that it has a seven year budgetary framework and an annual budget within that each year. Nevertheless, the seven year budgetary framework is extremely important in setting out the overall amounts available within the budget for each of the major areas of activity of the EU. To respond to a question from Deputy Colreavy, the Commission has made a proposal for a seven year budgetary framework for the EU. The outcome of that will be quite certain; in other words that will fix the amounts available for the whole seven years and within that for each year and will also define the amounts available in each of the main budgetary headings, including heading 2, which is described as sustainable growth, natural resources, but which is almost entirely made up of the CAP spending. Effectively, it sets the limit for CAP spending. What it puts forward is a budget of €382.9 billion for the CAP out of commitment appropriations of €1.25 billion. The CAP is a very large part, 36%, of the overall EU budget.
What has happened at MFF level - this is the responsibility of the Department of Finance - is that a significant number of member states, particularly the larger member states who are net contributors to the CAP budget, have indicated that they think that the overall EU budget proposed by the Commission is too large by an amount of about €100 billion. They want to reduce the overall budget by that amount. The question is where do they cut. If the CAP is 36% of the budget, obviously there is some threat to the CAP budget. That is the essential point I was making.
Deputy Moynihan made the point that many people, when the Commission proposal emerged, were happy that issue had been dealt with and that we had the budget. That is not the situation. We have a proposal with which we are fairly happy but we it is not a decision yet. I agree that is a hugely important point.
In terms of the MFF negotiations I was asked by many members what exactly is in those negotiations. Within the MFF the so-called negotiating box, which is just a peculiar term for a text of an agreement, it is not only dealing with the issue of the budget allocation but is also getting into a number of other issues including, for example, the division of pillar 1 and pillar 2 moneys between member states; in other words, not just the overall EU budget but the allocations among each member state.
Its members are also discussing whether 30% of the national ceiling should be for greening. They are discussing the question of whether some flexibility should be allowed for member states to transfer money from pillar 1 to pillar 2 and vice versa. They are also covering a number of other areas including, for example, the co-funding rates within pillar 2 of the CAP, that is, the amount the EU contributes to those measures compared with the amount member states contribute.
The point I am making is simple. Within the MFF negotiations a number of very important points of detailed CAP policy are being dealt with also. That is why I said that negotiations are proceeding on those twin tracks simultaneously, and there are overlaps between them. It is complicated, particularly when we recall that in addition to that the process in Parliament is going on.
The setting of 2014 was mentioned as an issue, and Deputy Moynihan made the point that the 2011 additional criteria has not allayed fears on that, which I understand. As I said in the statement, this is an issue that has arisen in Ireland. As far as we are aware it has not arisen in other member states. We have continued to press the point that member states should have the flexibility to set an earlier year if they so wish. That is the outcome we would prefer.
The Deputy is right in terms of what has happened to date. Before the proposals came out - these things leak and we were aware of what the Commission was about to propose - we put some pressure on the Commission and at the very last minute it put in this 2011 criterion to assist us, as it saw it. We made the point to it at the time that it did not deal with the issue very well. Since then, many member states have objected to the 2011 reference. They would prefer the 2014 straightforward reference without the 2011 reference. The Presidency has now proposed in its revised proposals that a member state should be allowed to set either 2010 or 2011 or have no pre-reference period but simply stick with the 2014. What it is an example of is that the text is dynamic. It is moving. It is changing. That is the reason I said in my opening statement that people should be very wary of making any decisions based on text as they see it.
Bureaucracy was raised by Deputy Heydon and others. We all call for simplification. Everybody does that but many member states have begun to put their money where their mouth is, as it were, and set out specific proposals on simplification, including Ireland. We have been part of a group of 13 or 14 countries for a number of years which has been very active on this issue actively making practical proposals for simplification. However, there is no doubt that what the Commission has proposed, particularly on greening, is not simple by anybody's definition and will lead to significant additional bureaucratic work.
In response to Deputy Ferris's point on sugar, to be clear, the reason we are supporting the abolition of sugar quotas is that Ireland could not now get back into sugar production even if we wanted to do so. Even if there was a commercial possibility of doing so we could not do so. If quotas are abolished, however, we will be able to do so if it is commercially viable. In other words, there will be no EU policy restriction on us. That is the reason we favour the abolition of quotas. It creates the legal possibility, whatever about the commercial possibility, of us getting back into sugar production.
Deputy Ferris also raised the question of objective criteria and asked what was involved in that regard. That question was raised also by one or two other Deputies. The Commission has said, regarding the rural development funds, that it would like to distribute on the basis of "objective criteria and past performance". What it means by objective criteria are things like GDP per head, population in rural areas as a proportion of the overall population, agricultural labour as a percentage of overall agricultural labour and agricultural output as a percentage of whatever.
There are many different sets of criteria that could be used, and on the face of it the idea of objective criteria sounds fair. If it is objective, it is objective. The problem is that everybody has their own favourite objective criteria. Every member state could put forward reasonable sounding criteria which would happen to favour them, and like everybody else we are in that position.
We have seen some of the Commission's internal calculations and some of those criteria, such as GDP per head, would be very unfavourable for Ireland and very unfair because they are out of date in terms of the position in this country. Regarding others, it is a question of detail definition, for example, "population in rural area" sounds as if it should be good for Ireland, and it would be, but the particular definition the Commission is using turns it into an unfavourable criteria. There are many detailed issues in that regard and many pitfalls in trying to develop objective criteria. We will get involved in an incredibly complicated negotiation on objective criteria in which it would be very difficult to reach agreement. We have said that the pragmatic approach used for pillar 1, which is based on the average payment per hectare in the member state, equally could be used for pillar 2. That would provide a favourable basis for Ireland.
It is unclear in the negotiations what will happen in this area because the Commission has steadfastly refused to come forward with a proposal, despite enormous pressure from virtually all member states and from many Members of the European Parliament. When we see its proposal we will be in a better position to negotiate the detail of it but right now we are satisfied with the position as I have indicated, and that we will hold to that position.
I was asked about the friends of the Presidency group. I promise it is nothing sinister. It is a term that is sometimes used for ad hoc groups that are established. It is a group of officials who are working on the multi-annual financial framework, and Ireland is well represented on that committee by an official from the Department of Finance.
The date of any agreement and the role of the Irish Presidency was raised by Deputy Harrington and a number of other members. I indicated in my opening statement three conditions I thought would have to be met if we are to get agreement during the Irish Presidency. It is clear that the CAP negotiations will not be agreed before the Irish Presidency, therefore, the Irish Presidency will have an important role to play in the CAP negotiations. There is no question about that. It is too early to say whether we will have agreement during the Irish Presidency but we are preparing ourselves to do that deal. We have made that clear to others. It is a compliment to previous Irish Presidencies that a number of member states have indicated to us that they will be very positively disposed to that and that they respect the fact that the Irish Presidency would be a good Presidency in which to do a deal.
If a deal is not done during the Irish Presidency there are serious questions about what would happen. I was asked about a plan B. The process could kick on for quite a distance. A number of elections would then be looming and so on and therefore it would be quite difficult. Already, there is some speculation, and it was mentioned by some members, about a delay in implementation. That would grow if the deal was not done during the Irish Presidency but we cannot say for certain that it will be done. It is a complex negotiation and all of the planets have to align for it to happen.
I was asked about the menu approach. There are a number of proposals being made by a large number of countries on what might be included in a menu approach. Ireland was one of the first to mention this possibility but a number of other member states have now adopted that kind of position. A goodly number of member states would like to include the possibility that any farmer who takes part in an agri-environmental scheme, such as REPS or AEOS, could qualify automatically for payment within a menu.
There are other concepts of a more technical nature. Farmers who maintain what is called "green cover", namely, farmers who grow a winter crop on arable land, which is regarded as environmentally beneficial, should qualify. There are a number of ideas that go beyond the specific three criteria mentioned by the Commission.
With regard to our ideas, not having a separate green payment and instead applying the criteria to the direct payment as a whole is possible. I mentioned this and a number of Deputy's picked up on it. The idea should at least be considered. It would definitely be simpler and achieve just as much environmentally.
We have made detailed comments on each of the three criteria. The Commission has proposed, according to the crop diversification criterion, that there be three crops on land amounting to more than 3 ha. This threshold is far too low. It is completely impractical to suggest a farmer should have three different crops on 3 ha of land. This figure is not realistic. We have suggested a minimum threshold of 15 ha and this has some precedent in European law. We have suggested the same minimum threshold for the ecological focus area requirement, for example.
With regard to the very important grassland qualification, according to the Commission's proposal one is allowed a tolerance rate of only 5%. In other words, one can plough up to 5% of one's grassland. This, however, does not recognise that, in a country like Ireland, whose farmland is almost all grassland, the planting of small areas with cereals by a farmer is environmentally very positive from a biodiversity perspective. We have suggested that any farmer whose grassland amounts to 70% or more of his land should qualify automatically. This would make the measure more realistic in our case.
The key problem that has emerged is that the Commission has come up with three very fixed criteria that will apply everywhere, from Sicily to Lapland. Whether this is realistic is a very serious question and that is why people are opting for a more flexible menu-type approach.
It is only fair to point out that the Commission's calculations, which are probably correct, suggest Irish farmers would incur costs among the lowest in the Union in meeting even its green criteria. This is good because we are already very green but it is a much bigger issue for other countries. I would expect those countries to fight very hard on these issues.
The gains and losses for individual farmers balance out. In other words, there is a national ceiling that will be given to Ireland. If there were a flat rate, some farmers would lose significantly and others would gain significantly, and Ireland would come out quits. Our analysis of various flat rates considered a national flat rate, different regional flat rates, and defining regions in different ways. I will not go into all the details here but will happily share them with the members. All the evidence points to the fact that those who would lose are farmers who are more productive and have higher stocking rates than others. The farmers with very low stocking rates would gain. I hope I have covered everything.