I thank members for the opportunity to address them. At the beginning of the first quarter of this year members of the Irish Association of Investment Managers, IAIM, had invested more than €23 billion, on behalf of clients, in the Irish economy. This includes investments in Irish listed companies, Government bonds, cash deposits providing liquidity to Irish banks, investments in venture capital, in forestry and other alternative assets, and property. Every economist would place a different value, in employment terms and in terms of importance to the economy, on this level of investment, but it is unquestionably significant. It is also to a significant degree mobile, as other eurozone economies would provide suitable investment locations. This stake in Ireland makes the performance of the economy, consumer confidence and employment growth vital to the interests of many of our member firms.
The term "institutional investor" has connotations of nameless, faceless bodies focused on profit to the exclusion of the broader public interest. In reality, members of the IAIM do not invest a single penny on their own account or for their own book. The funds member firms manage on behalf of Irish residents are the retirement savings of the almost 1 million people who are members of occupational pension schemes, individual pension assets of self-employed people and the savings people make in education policies and other investment products. The funds we manage are not the private wealth of high net worth individuals. They belong to ordinary people.
It should not be surprising then that a cornerstone of the regulatory environment in which IAIM members, and similar institutions, operate is an absolute duty to act in the best interests of their clients. In most cases the institution acts in accordance with a specific investment mandate from its pension fund or life company client and it cannot breach that mandate by making decisions that would be detrimental to those interests. A pension fund's obligation is to make regular payments to pensioners and to do this it invests in a range of assets that will produce income. Rental income is a significant component of that cashflow. In addition, investment managers, on behalf of their clients, invest in a range of other asserts depending on the liability profile of the scheme.
Any transfer of benefit from a tenant who has contractually agreed to pay a certain level of rent cannot be undertaken lightly. The benefit is ultimately provided by pensioners, savers and pension scheme members. That said, there is a misconception that landlords set rental levels. Landlords can ask for exorbitant rents if they wish but, in practice, it is the tenant who decides what level of rent is offered given the use to which the building can be put. It is competition between tenants that pushes rents up and it is a lack of competition between tenants that causes rents to fall. Individual landlords cannot control the supply of space but individual tenants can decide the level of rent they wish to pay. They are not compelled to take space in a particular centre or street.
There is currently an over-supply of accommodation and tenant demand is generally weak, with the result that rents have fallen. Tenants have been able to negotiate more tenant-friendly leases and, even before the recent change in legislation which banned upward-only rent reviews in new leases, landlords were forced into agreeing to new types of arrangements, such as turnover rents, in response to market forces. In this way it can be seen that the rental market was beginning to self-correct.
We are concerned that perceptions are growing that Ireland is a country where there could be persistent legislative intervention in the market. This can impact on the capital market perception of Ireland by scaring off potential investors. Any new investor will examine the stability of the regulatory regime before proceeding. Rather than viewing international investors as competitors, local institutions consider it important for the recovery of our property market and economy that foreign investors enter the market as they will provide a new source of capital in a country where capital is in very short supply.
There is a strong perception that landlords are not engaging with retail tenants in the current difficult climate. That is untrue. In preparation for this meeting IAIM conducted, for the first time, an analysis of institutional investor portfolios. This was not a selective survey but rather an analysis of the full portfolios of seven of the larger institutional investors. These portfolios have a combined value of €5 billion and are estimated to account for 25% of the investment property market. Before I turn to this analysis it should be remembered that the key issue is that tenants' turnover has decreased as a result of the severe recession. CSO figures indicate that annual retail sales excluding motor trade decreased by 2.9% in 2008 and by a further 6.7% in 2009. As institutional investment in Ireland does not include motor show rooms or petrol stations, it is the appropriate measure to use. A recovery in retail sales would eliminate much of the problem facing some retailers. Given the likelihood of stabilisation of the economy in the later part of 2010 and a return to growth in 2011, it is anticipated that consumer spending will not recover until 2011. Retailers need to review their business model for 2010.
Retail sales in Ireland increased by more than 30% between 2001 and 2007. It is generally acknowledged that retail margins in the Irish market were extremely high during this period and that retailers, in general, should have entered the current downturn in a relatively good financial position. Trading difficulties have not been experienced across the board in institutional investment properties. However, applications for rent concessions are no longer unusual. The analysis of institutional portfolios I referred to covered 1,132 tenancies across the country. Of these, 619 were retail and the remainder office and industrial. Some 33% of tenants — or 207 — have sought concessions. This is obviously a concern particularly as pension schemes have already suffered a loss of 60% in the value of their property assets. These losses have forced businesses and workers to increase their contributions to fund pension schemes at a time when the best interests of the economy would be served by an increase in productive spending.
In recognition of the limited demand from new occupiers, and faced with the prospect of vacant properties, institutional investment managers have, on behalf of their clients, agreed to rent concessions to keep income flowing from their property assets. To grant a rent concession to a tenant, an investment manager needs to ensure that it is justified given that the income foregone will need to be made up by additional contributions by the schemes sponsors and members.
In evaluating a tenant's application for a rent concession, firms need to ensure they have the necessary financial information on which to base their decision. Of those who applied for a rent concession, 74% provided the information and engaged in an open and transparent manner, but for the 26% who did not, we could not progress their application. The asset manager will review the trading, profit and loss and balance sheet and other financial statements and notes including movements in capital and reserves and working capital, together with management accounts and cashflow statements.
The issues in assessing a tenant's application for a rent concession are complex. Turnover in some businesses may be subject to shrinking margins due to increased competition or due to a collapse in the demand for luxury goods. A decrease in turnover may be in line with similar businesses or a company may be suffering particularly because its buying missed new consumer trends. A reduction in turnover may also be the result of a decrease in footfall in a particular shopping centre; the landlord's response in that instance may be to improve turnover through a contribution to advertising or to improve the physical environment rather than a rent concession. Some retailer's business models may not suit the unit they are in.
Within a shopping centre some retailers may be able to move to smaller units that would reduce fixed costs without a significant impact on turnover. On prime high streets, some uses cannot sustain high level of rent. On Grafton Street 30 years ago there was furniture retailing in Cavendish's and fish in McConnell's, very different to the global retailers like River Island and Boots, which have the retailing model to sustain prime rents.
Retailing evolves and some uses end up off the prime high streets replaced by more profitable formats. In terms of employment, it does not matter whether the businesses are international or local, they both employ, they both reinvest in their businesses.
Retailers who expanded late in the economic cycle may be vulnerable; particularly those who paid large capital sums to purchase their leases from other tenants who wished to take advantage of the high demand for retail units in prime locations. In some locations on Grafton Street, for example, virtually all of the lettings in recent years were not on a vacant basis, new tenants approached existing tenants, often paying significant key money, reportedly up to €2 million, and the landlords saw none of that money. People who acquired such tenancies did so after advice and due consideration.
Tenants' balance sheets may not be strong enough to withstand two years' poor trading and reserves may be under pressure. In considering an application for a rent concession, reserves that have reduced as a result of further investment in the business will be viewed very differently to the situation where a reduction in reserves arises as a result of the payment of drawings to directors. In this later situation, a recapitalisation programme may be more appropriate response than a rent concession.
In this way it can be seen that the issue of reduced turnover is multi-factorial; rent which is a fixed cost usually accounting for 8% to 15% of turnover is one factor but there may other responses that are appropriate.
Institutional landlords are playing their part in sustaining retail enterprises and employment. Having engaged with the retail tenants who supplied the necessary financial information, member firms have been able to justify to their clients that rent concessions which should bridge this difficult period be granted in 77% of cases where financial information was provided.
The IAIM supports the Department of Justice, Equality and Law Reform working group and we will contribute in a full and open way to developing the transparency and openness necessary in the rental process.