As I regard this as a rather important Bill, and as members of the Seanad, I am sure, will require to know what are the various reasons why the Bill has been brought forward, I should like to go into some little explanation of the causes. I would ask the House to go back to 1930 or before 1930. For seven or eight years prior to 1930 the price of butter in this country was fairly stable. It was never below the price of 160/- per cwt., and the price of milk as supplied to the creameries was never below 6d. per gallon. At the end of the year 1929, prices began to fall and the average price for 1930 was 126/- per cwt., for butter and 4.9 pence per gallon for milk. In 1931 things got worse. Butter was sold at an average price of 115/- per cwt. and the creameries paid 4.3 pence per gallon for milk. When we took over the Government one of the first problems that was put to us was the threatened collapse of the whole dairying industry if prices were to continue falling as they had been falling during the last two years. When we were preparing this Bill we got the prices that were paid for the first three months of this year. We had no butter exports during the first three months—there was a tariff on the import of butter to this country—so that we could not get an idea of what our butter would be worth on the world market. We took however the price of Danish butter and we found that Danish butter on the British market was 10/- per cwt. lower than it was for the corresponding three months of 1931. We therefore came to the conclusion that things would probably be worse this year than last year.
We find that we have been borne out so far in that. At the present time I believe that the price of butter in the British market is from 20/- to 22/- —it varies from day to day—lower than it was during the same period last year. There were other factors that we had to take account of. Up to the end of last year, Denmark, which is our biggest competitor in the British market, had an alternative market in Germany, and the Danes were able sometimes to withdraw from the British market when prices were going down, and put their butter on to the German market, and in that way they were able to get a better price in the British market than they would get if they were altogether confined to that market. But Germany has put on a tariff of 56/- per cwt.—it may be higher after a certain quantity has been imported—and that means really that the Danes and the people of the North European countries are practically compelled to put all their butter into the British market this year, and as long as the German tariff lasts. That means that there will be more European butter for the British market than it had up to this. The imports of New Zealand and Australian butter into the British market are increasing very rapidly. The increase in the Australian imports last year in the British market were more than double the exports from this country. That gives an idea of the volume that these two countries—Australia and New Zealand—are now putting on the British market, and it is with New Zealand and Australian butter that our butter is compared. To give a further idea of the remarkable increase in imports to the British market, in 1928 there were 6,121,000 cwts. brought into the British market, and in 1931 there were 7,850,000 cwts., so that there was an increase of over 1,700,000 cwts. It would look as if the 1928 import was the amount that the British consumers could pay at the high price of 160/-. When the imports into Great Britain increased above that, the prices went down. Imports are increasing rapidly from year to year, so that there would appear to be very little hope of an improvement in the world prices until one of those big suppliers such as Denmark, New Zealand, Australia or some other of those countries come to think that it is uneconomic to produce butter in such quantities. And even here at home we find that the price had an adverse effect. We get returns from our creameries here of their output, and we find that the output of our own creameries in 1931 had gone down from 700,000 cwts. to 605,000 cwts. That is a very big decline in the quantity that was being produced. We have not got very exact figures for the output of the factories, but the factories assure us that their business has been declining. For them however we have not got the figures, except for 1926 and 1929.
We drew up this Bill in the end of March, and we forecast an average export price of 105/- per cwt. for the year, and it was on that figure that we more or less built this Bill. But I am sorry to say that we were over-optimistic in that figure. The price of Irish creamery butter has been back for some three or four weeks from 93/- to 98/-. And even at 98/-, and suppose that we had not introduced this Bill and suppose that we could have maintained 98/- as the export price for our butter, that would mean a price of 3.3 pence per gallon for the milk. It is very difficult to know what the cost of the production of milk is to the farmer, but indirectly we can reach it. We believe that it was not an economic proposition to produce milk last year for 4.3 pence, or in the previous year for 4.9 pence, because we feel that if it was economic for farmers to produce milk at that price, the output of the creameries would not have declined. There was no other business—pig rearing or any other kind of business in farming—that the farmer could have taken up during the last two years that would have been very profitable. So that I think we may take it in this way: that the production of milk would be undertaken by them if they could make it pay at all, and we may clearly come to the conclusion that the price of 4.3 pence or 4.9 pence is not economic. A Commission on agriculture was set up here in 1922 and that is the last occasion on which figures were given by experts, and at that time it was stated that the cost of production of milk in 1914 was 5.62 pence per gallon. Taking 5.62 pence and even allowing a certain amount for the skim milk which is returned, I think we must get the farmer fivepence, or almost fivepence, a gallon in order to keep him in production.
The dairying industry, as Senators know, is one of our basic industries. We get the milk and the butter required for home consumption, and we get a certain amount of butter and cream and other milk products for export from that industry. And not only is that so, but the biggest single industry that we have in this country is the cattle industry, and that also depends upon dairying. We also have depending upon the dairying industry, to a large extent, pigs and poultry, so that we feel that if we do not make an attempt to see that the present number of cows is maintained in the country we shall have not only a less output of butter and milk but the number of our cattle, pigs and poultry will also go down. And that is why we are making an attempt, by means of this Bill, to save that industry.
We are anxious, as Senators know, to build up industries in this country, but we feel that it would be very foolish to allow a big industry like this to fail while we turned our eyes to the building up of other industries. We must at least save the industries that we have. I feel that in order to save these industries, we must induce those who are in them to remain in them by giving them the cost of production. We may be anxious to see that the labourer gets a living wage, and we must also see that the producer gets his cost of production. I may mention that in 1930-31 a tariff was introduced on butter of 4d. per lb. If our dairying industry had been properly organised at that time—perhaps that is too much to expect—but if it had been perfectly organised and if all the producers of butter in this country had combined amongst themselves and said: "We are going to take advantage of this tariff and see that no butter is sold at home in this country less than 4d. per lb. over the world price," they could have done and would have done what this Bill seeks to do. We are endeavouring to find a means to give the dairying industry the benefit of that 4d. per lb that was put on by way of a tariff.
The objection to this Bill comes from the point of view of the consumer. We are compelled of course to sell our butter or any similar product in the British market or any other market that we may find, at world prices. We cannot possibly introduce any legislation which will improve that position; and the only thing that we can do is to ask our own consumers here at home to pay more for what they are going to consume. This is an unfortunate thing but we cannot help it. I should like to say, however, that the consumer even though he is being asked to pay more as the result of this Bill than he otherwise would have paid, is not going to be asked to pay more than he has been accustomed to pay for many years back. From 1915 to 1929, a period of 14 years, the consumer only got butter in this country at the price of 1s. 8d. per lb., and even during the last few years with the low prices that ruled the world, the consumer in this country paid 1s. 7d. per lb. in the winter months for his butter, and 1s. 3d. in the summer months, giving an average for the whole year of somewhere about 1s. 4d. per lb. Under this Bill it cannot be more than 1s. 5d., and it can only be 1s. 5d. when the export price of butter is 105s. per cwt. When the export price goes below 105s., adding whatever it is to the bounty of 37s. 4d. will fix the price of the butter here.