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Money Supply

Dáil Éireann Debate, Wednesday - 29 September 2010

Wednesday, 29 September 2010

Ceisteanna (403)

Thomas P. Broughan

Ceist:

492 Deputy Thomas P. Broughan asked the Minister for Finance the measurement of the money supply, M3 and M4, in the economy here since 1997; if the Central Bank, Financial Regulator and his Department lacked key information when and as the money supply balanced upwards; if he will outline the changes he is making to ensure a more accurate future measurement of the broad money supply; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [33375/10]

Amharc ar fhreagra

Freagraí scríofa

The Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland are responsible for the compilation and publication of statistics on the money supply. The official measures of the monetary aggregates (M1, M2 and M3) are calculated monthly based on the statistical returns each monetary financial institution are statutorily obliged to submit to the Central Bank with regard to their offices resident in the State. M1 includes overnight deposits and currency in circulation. M2 is M1 plus longer term deposits up to 2 years maturity or redeemable at notice up to 3 months and Post Office Savings accounts. M3 is M2 plus repurchase agreements and certain marketable instruments issued by monetary financial institutions (MFIs).

Since 1999, the money supply definition has changed to be the Irish contribution to euro area money supply. The instruments listed above are those deposits placed by or instruments held by Irish and other euro area resident non-monetary financial institutions with MFIs resident in the State. These data are collected on a harmonised basis across the euro area, and in Ireland are collected from the full population of MFIs. M4 is not an official measure of money supply in the euro area. The Central Bank publishes the Irish contribution to euro area money supply on their website, where figures for the period since 2003 can be found.

The Central Bank has provided the following information for the period 1997 to 2002:

M1a

Headline y-y change-%

M3E

Headline y-y change-%

Adjusted y-y change-%b

£ Million

1997

Jan-97

5,540

17.8

34,909

16.0

14.7

Feb-97

5,472

15.9

35,640

17.9

16.6

Mar-97

5,559

16.7

35,960

17.9

16.2

Apr-97

5,336

17.3

36,729

19.9

17.3

May-97

5,891

20.7

37,541

20.6

18.8

Jun-97

6,050

20.2

37,932

21.5

18.9

Jul-97

6,396

18.3

39,096

22.6

20.2

Aug-97

6,488

21.2

39,587

23.3

21.1

Sep-97

6,381

18.8

40,504

24.8

22.2

Oct-97

6,674

22.6

41,043

24.4

22.5

Nov-97

6,760

22.2

41,448

24.2

21.6

Dec-97

7,458

23.6

42,290

22.1

19.1

1998

Jan-98

7,090

24.7

42,800

22.6

20.4

Feb-98

7,111

26.5

42,888

20.3

18.6

Mar-98

7,221

25.4

43,129

19.9

19.0

Apr-98

7,523

29.0

43,839

19.4

18.5

May-98

7,745

26.9

44,702

19.1

18.1

Jun-98

7,845

25.2

44,923

18.4

19.7

Jul-98

7,932

24.0

45,994

17.6

18.9

Aug-98

8,034

23.8

47,216

19.3

19.2

Sep-98

8,275

29.7

47,217

16.6

18.4

Oct-98

8,633

29.4

48,734

18.7

19.4

Nov-98

8,831

30.6

49,211

18.7

20.0

Dec-98

9,394

26.0

49,614

17.3

18.1

a Break in series in July 1997 following the reclassification of credit institutions. M1 now includes non-governmentcurrent accounts of other credit institutions (building societies, State-sponsored financial institutions and TSB Bank).

b Adjusted for the effects of transactions between credit institutions and non-bank IFSC companies and valuation effects arising from the exchange-rate movements.

M1

Headline y-y change-%

M2

Headline y-y change-%

M3

Headline y-y change-%

€ Million

1999

Jan-99

12,164

n.a.

67,271

n.a.

78,266

n.a.

Feb-99

12,362

n.a.

68,291

n.a.

79,808

n.a.

Mar-99

12,779

n.a.

68,572

n.a.

80,716

n.a.

Apr-99

13,325

n.a.

73,190

n.a.

85,565

n.a.

May-99

13,548

n.a.

73,989

n.a.

86,972

n.a.

Jun-99

14,376

n.a.

70,540

n.a.

83,098

n.a.

Jul-99

14,446

n.a.

70,133

n.a.

82,096

n.a.

Aug-99

14,675

n.a.

73,099

n.a.

86,350

n.a.

Sep-99

15,204

n.a.

74,216

n.a.

88,186

n.a.

Oct-99

15,406

n.a.

75,675

n.a.

91,528

n.a.

Nov-99

15,678

n.a.

76,459

n.a.

91,221

n.a.

Dec-99

17,360

n.a.

77,429

n.a.

91,046

n.a.

2000

Jan-00

16,374

34.6

81,051

20.5

93,946

20.0

Feb-00

16,298

31.8

81,418

19.2

95,169

19.2

Mar-00

16,885

32.1

82,017

19.6

95,805

18.7

Apr-00

16,611

24.7

83,481

14.1

97,812

14.3

May-00

16,744

23.6

84,294

13.9

98,893

13.7

Jun-00

17,318

20.5

84,415

19.7

98,086

18.0

Jul-00

18,325

26.9

84,448

20.4

97,296

18.5

Aug-00

17,875

21.8

88,087

20.5

102,343

18.5

Sep-00

18,460

21.4

87,817

18.3

102,289

16.0

Oct-00

19,002

23.3

89,692

18.5

105,853

15.7

Nov-00

18,511

18.1

89,586

17.2

106,498

16.7

Dec-00

19,615

13.0

87,129

12.5

104,399

14.7

2001

Jan-01

18,307

11.8

91,025

12.3

109,421

16.5

Feb-01

18,709

14.8

89,142

9.5

109,276

14.8

Mar-01

19,296

14.3

90,369

10.2

112,245

17.2

Apr-01

19,577

17.9

91,434

9.5

113,034

15.6

May-01

19,442

16.1

90,417

7.3

114,509

15.8

Jun-01

19,928

15.1

91,111

7.9

118,674

21.0

Jul-01

19,986

9.1

90,885

7.6

117,214

20.5

Aug-01

20,250

13.3

92,355

4.8

115,850

13.2

Sep-01

21,036

14.0

92,404

5.2

115,832

13.2

Oct-01

21,133

11.2

93,041

3.7

118,163

11.6

Nov-01

21,097

14.0

93,640

4.5

119,299

12.0

Dec-01

22,607

15.3

94,626

8.6

122,399

17.2

2002

Jan-02

21,461

17.2

96,882

6.4

124,745

14.0

Feb-02

20,729

10.8

95,880

7.6

124,389

13.8

Mar-02

21,513

11.5

97,095

7.4

125,488

11.8

Apr-02

21,422

9.4

97,527

6.7

126,521

11.9

May-02

21,804

12.1

98,528

9.0

129,980

13.5

Jun-02

22,742

14.1

97,722

7.3

128,158

8.0

Jul-02

22,657

13.4

103,100

13.4

135,390

15.5

Aug-02

23,020

13.7

103,911

12.5

132,772

14.6

Sep-02

23,412

11.3

103,395

11.9

132,361

14.3

Oct-02

24,038

13.7

104,437

12.2

134,352

13.7

Nov-02

23,831

13.0

103,519

10.5

133,162

11.6

Dec-02

25,176

11.4

105,506

11.5

133,772

9.3

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