I am advised by the Revenue Commissioners of the distribution effects on income earners as set out in the table below. The table includes the distributional effect on income earners on a pre and post Budget 2011 basis and the corresponding distribution of the impact of the income tax changes proposed in the National Recovery Plan 2011-2014 in terms of projected 2011 incomes. A distribution in terms of projected 2014 incomes is not available. The figures are estimates from the Revenue tax-forecasting model using actual data for the year 2008, adjusted as necessary to take account of the most recent data available for income and employment trends in the interim. They are, therefore, provisional and likely to be revised.
|
Exempt
|
Standard Rate* (incl. those whose liability at higher rate is fully offset by credits)
|
Higher Rate liability not fully offset by credits
|
Total number of cases
|
|
Number of cases
|
As % of all cases
|
Number of cases
|
As % of all cases
|
Number of cases
|
As % of all cases
|
|
2010
|
982,900
|
44.3%
|
925,500
|
41.7%
|
311,900
|
14.0%
|
2,220,300
|
2011 on a pre-Budget basis
|
975,600
|
43.9%
|
930,400
|
41.8%
|
318,800
|
14.3%
|
2,224,800
|
2011 on a post-Budget basis
|
843,400
|
37.9%
|
978,500
|
44.0%
|
402,900
|
18.1%
|
2,224,800
|
National Recovery Plan**
|
799,200
|
35.9%
|
956,200
|
43.0%
|
469,400
|
21.1%
|
2,224,800
|
*Includes those benefiting from the system of marginal relief taxation.
**In terms of projected 2011 incomes.
Numbers are rounded to the nearest 100.
A married couple who has elected or has been deemed to have elected for joint assessment is counted as one tax unit.
As set out in the National Recovery Plan 2011-2014, it is proposed to reduce the level of credits and bands by 16.5% beginning with a 10% reduction as announced in Budget 2011.
It is estimated that the measures introduced in Budget 2011 will reduce the numbers of income earners exempt from Income Tax to 38% in 2011. The numbers with a liability at 41% will increase to 18% in 2011. The estimates for 2014, assuming a total reduction of 16.5% in credits and bands, indicate that about 36% of income earners will be exempt from Income Tax and about 21% will have a liability at 41%.
These changes are necessary in the context of the National Recovery Plan 2011-2014 to rebalance the income tax system which is unsustainable and fails to provide the adequate yield.