This, according to the Parliamentary Secretary's speech, may seem a harmless sort of Supplementary Estimate, despite the fact that the sum asked for is £177,000. The introduction of this Supplementary Estimate demonstrates the trend in employment or, if you like, unemployment. It seems to me that the forecasts of the Minister and the Parliamentary Secretary, and the anticipation of the Government and their promises with regard to unemployment, have not materialised. The Minister for Finance, I am sure, approved of this Supplementary Estimate two, three or four weeks ago. It seems strange that he should, a little over a week ago, announce that there was a big reduction in unemployment in the country. The indication contained in this Supplementary Estimate is that there is no material improvement in the unemployment situation.
The Parliamentary Secretary introduced the main Estimate for this year. He was slightly optimistic with regard to unemployment. As reported at column 106 of the Official Report of 13th May, 1958, he said:—
"The State subvention to the Social Insurance Fund of £4,213,000 for 1958-59 is £274,000 lower than the corresponding provision for 1957-58. This is mainly due to an anticipated decrease of £190,000 in benefit expenditure and to an anticipated increase of £100,000 in contribution income. The main variations giving raise to the net decrease of £190,000 in benefit expenditure are reductions of £150,000 and £117,000 in unemployment benefit and disability benefit respectively, offset by an increase of £69,000 in the provision for widows' and orphans' contributory pensions."
The Parliamentary Secretary went on to say—
"Both the reduction in the provision for unemployment benefit and the increase in the provision for contribution income are based on the expectation of an improved employment situation in 1958-1959."
In view of the fact that it is necessary for the Parliamentary Secretary to come here and ask for a sum very similar to that by which he cut the Estimate last year, surely at this stage he should say to the House: "What we anticipated in respect of employment has not materialised." Over and above all that, the Parliamentary Secretary and the Minister for Social Welfare should be honest enough to come in here and say: "We did not carry out the promises we made with regard to a reduction in unemployment."
It seems to me that many of the Fianna Fáil speakers have no regard whatever for figures, for figures of unemployment and figures of expenditure on unemployment benefit and unemployment assistance. That is evidenced by the fact that Deputy Haughey appeared in the House yesterday and, in reply to certain allegations by a member of the Fine Gael Party, blandly told us that the people in the City of Dublin—and I expect this is a slight exaggeration— are 50 times better off than they were two years ago. How can Deputy Haughey, or any spokesman of the Government, or the Minister for Finance, who says unemployment has been substantially reduced, reconcile their views, as expressed here and in the public Press, with the fact that at present we still have—I have not got the figure for this week—approximately 84,000 people unemployed, and a substantial number of those in receipt of unemployment benefit?
Coupled with that, we have emigration, which the Taoiseach says is not easy to estimate, and some tens of thousands of people have emigrated since 1st April, 1958. That too, has relieved the Exchequer and the Social Insurance Fund to the extent of tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of pounds. Therefore, it is dishonest for any spokesman of the Government to try to tell this House, and the people at public meetings, and through their three national newspapers, that unemployment is on the decrease. The fact is that it is not. Of course, if intending emigrants who contemplate going to Britain to look for work were to read the Sunday Press every Sunday and read about the dozens of mythical factories that have been established, or are to be established they would never think of leaving this country.
Apart from the dishonesty of speakers of the Fianna Fáil Party, it is dishonest of the Irish Press, controlled by the Government Party, to try to fool the people into the belief that there is work here, or that there are to be a substantial number of factories established to give much needed employment. The fact that the Parliamentary Secretary has introduced this Estimate is an admission by the Government that they have made no improvement as far as the employment situation is concerned.
It is an admission by the Government that the promises which they made prior to the last election, and the promises they made on assuming office, have not materialised. There is nothing but talk of factories and promises of factories. The people have been subjected to plans and promises of plans, but the plain fact is that there are still 83,000 or 84,000 people unemployed and it does not seem that, within the near future, that figure will be curtailed to any substantial degree. As a matter of fact, the Parliamentary Secretary and members of this House know that as far as employment is concerned in road making, in bog development, in drainage and in house building, it is diminishing, and diminishing rapidly, and that has been mainly brought about by the actions of the Government.
I do not know what the situation would have been if there had not been emigration. Nobody will allege that I condone emigration, but if the 40,000 or 50,000 people who are alleged to have emigrated in 1958 were here and had been paid either out of the Social Assistance Fund, or the Social Insurance Fund, the Supplementary Estimate which the Parliamentary Secretary would have to bring in here would be of considerable dimensions.
I should like the Parliamentary Secretary to tell us also what effect there has been on the Social Insurance Fund by the raising of the ceiling for insurable employment from £600 to £800 per year in respect of certain workers deemed not to be engaged in manual work. That, too, mark you, must be added to this figure of £177,000 because that is an income that was not anticipated when the Parliamentary Secretary introduced the Estimate in 1958 or, if it was anticipated, it was never mentioned when the Estimate was being introduced. The Social Insurance Fund, therefore, has been relieved to the extent of, I suppose, £30,000 or £40,000 by reason of the raising of the ceiling for insurable employment in respect of non-manual workers from £600 to £800 per year.
As I said, this Estimate seems to be a repudiation of the allegation that unemployment has been reduced and it is certainly a repudiation, and a strong repudiation, of the allegation by the Minister for Finance, a little over a week ago, that unemployment had been substantially reduced during the régime of the Fianna Fáil Government.