One of the important things Dr. Kennedy found as a result of his short study of the Danish economy was, that the failure of the Danes to provide the sort of incentives we have provided, has not caused them to fail so far as their industry and employment are concerned. I think that is a fair summary on paraphrase of one of his major findings.
For that reason he comes to the conclusion that the incentives we have been giving are not necessarily the best, even though, like everyone else, he freely accepts that they were highly successful for about 15 years after they were brought in and only seemed to fail in the changing circumstances of the past two years. We can deduce from this that it is time for us to question whether the capital intensive nature of the industry we have been attracting over the past 15 years is the best type of industry to attract in the circumstances in which we now find ourselves with 107,000 people out of work.
In particular, it is noteworthy that in recent years the sort of industries that a high proportion of IDA grants have been spent on consist of industries such as chemicals and plastics, and other industries of that kind, in which there is a high import content. They are largely grant-aided but they have a very restricted impact on the Irish economy as a whole and the secondary investment which they create is, to say the least of it, very limited.
In recent years we have seen examples of some of these industries. I am not anxious to name individual industries. For example, there are chemical industries and allied industries of a highly capital-intensive nature in which millions of pounds have been invested which are employing only 60 or 70 people and are never likely to employ many more. Admittedly the 60 or 70 people have very good jobs, they are very well paid, their jobs are pleasant and, hopefully, reasonably secure. Nevertheless the dividend in terms of jobs which the IDA are getting from this kind of investment is very poor indeed.
It is well worth considering now whether we should continue to spend a lot of money on attracting that kind of industry or change our approach in order to encourage industry in which the need for capital is less but in which the amount of employment given is greater in relation to the capital employed. As well as the possibility of changing from capital-intensive to labour-intensive industry, we should consider what is described in Denmark as skill-intensive industry, where the amount of employment given and the value added can be very great, notwithstanding the fact that the amount of capital involved can be comparatively small. I think it is fair to say that one of the conclusions that Dr. Kennedy reaches in relation to Denmark is that the high degree of skill, in particular the high standard of design, had a great deal to do with the success of many Danish industries which, due to the economic strain, might otherwise have gone to the wall. The great bulk of Danish industry, as reported by Dr. Kennedy, was not the large type of foreign industry brought into Denmark by what would be the equivalent of the IDA, if they had one. Instead it was skilled Danish technicians and craftsmen who, in the course of their own employment in factories or workshops in Denmark, thought of a good idea, saw a way in which a particular process could be carried out more easily, profitably and efficiently than was being done in the factory in which they had been working hitherto, and set themselves up as a very small company to carry out that process.
It was from that that a tremendous base was given to Danish industry, a base which was able to withstand domestic and world problems of inflation and foreign demand in a way that the sort of industry we have encouraged in this country since 1958 in many cases would find difficult. This is not to say, happily, that the great majority of our industries are not thriving, as indeed I believe they are, but one of the reasons I think that comparatively few of them have gone to the wall, even though many of them are not expanding in a way that one would like, is that the IDA were extremely careful down the vears to whom they gave grants. They have required a proven track record from the particular industry someone proposed to establish, and it has been difficult for Irish citizens to get a grant from the IDA and to avail of the other incentives for industry and particularly exporting industries, for the reason that because they are Irish businessmen, because we have not the industrial tradition here that one would wish, they have no proven track record and cannot have.
If the IDA are to continue to insist on that sine aua non for giving grants and assistance then we are going to depend to a continuing high degree on foreign investments. I would suggest that the time has come to think twice about this. Do we wish to continue the foreign dominance of our industrial scene or would it not be preferable for us now, when we have seen a certain number of foreign companies depart this country very quickly in recent years, to have a reappraisal of the fundamental IDA approach to this sort of problem and get them to weigh the potential benefits and risks of helping, by way of capital and otherwise, small Irish businessmen who are prepared to take that chance?
It may well be that 50 per cent of such Irish industrialists or businessmen will fail, but at the moment it is very difficult, unless you have proved yourself in a particular industry, to get started in any industry at all here. Is it not worth taking a chance on giving grants to Irish businessmen who have not a proven track record in the particular industries they are trying to establish? Even if only 50 per cent of them succeed, is it not very much in the national interest to encourage them and enable them to succeed?
As I have said, the general characteristic of the sort of industries we have been encouraging into this country since 1958 has been industry of an international character in which frequently the full manufacturing process is not carried out in this country but is partially carried out in conjunction with partially processed raw material imported from a parent company abroad. One of the things we have lacked and have failed to attract to the extent that one would wish are industries that are prepared to use Irish products, local raw materials, and to carry out the entire manufacturing process in this country from almost the recovery of the raw material to the final placing of the finished article on the retailer's shelf.
The Minister may reply to that, that we have not that much raw material of various kinds that we can avail of. But even if we cannot avail of it as extensively as we would wish and if a great deal of raw material does have to be imported, at least let it be imported as raw as possible and as unprocessed as possible rather than in the comparatively highly processed form in which we have been importing it.
There are certain raw materials which, happily for us as a nation, are available to us today or are about to become available to us which were not available all down through the centuries and which, in particular, were not available ten, 20 or 30 years ago. I am talking, for example, about the product of the Tara mines at Navan, the lead and zinc concentrates which hopefully will become available in 12 months or thereabouts.
We have had no indication from the Government in recent times that there is any proposal to utilise the product of that mine or the other much smaller mines in the country right through to the finished product. In fact, all the indications are that the lead and zinc concentrates, when they leave the mine after the rough initial processing which they get at the mine or at the minehead, are going to be exported.
There is a big row going on about whether they should be exported through Mornington, near Drogheda, through Dublin, or through anywhere else. In my view, it matters very little, if they are to be exported, from where they are to be exported. The tragedy is that they will be exported and the Government have not told us otherwise.
Last February the Minister made an announcement that it was hoped to establish a smelter at a future time. We were given no details about it then and we have not got any since. The fact that the company concerned are making active preparations for the export of their concentrates indicates that there is no prospect in the short term of a smelter. If we fail to establish and operate a smelter here, we will lose a large proportion of the value of those minerals which this country was so fortunate to find near Navan. I do not think there is any country in the world, apart from the most undeveloped countries of Africa or Asia, who if they had the huge deposits of lead and zinc we are fortunate to have at Navan would not insist, as a condition of any licence for the extraction of those minerals, on the establishment of a smelter either by the mining interests concerned or some people in co-operation with them. Nevertheless, we have no smelter, or an announcement that we are likely to get one, and at the moment active efforts are being pursued to facilitate the export of lead and zinc concentrates.
I would like to remind the House that as long ago as 1970, on an appeal to the Minister for Local Government, planning permission was granted for a smelter, subject to many conditions, in respect of a site at Cork Harbour, which, as far as I recall, was on Little Island. At that time the principal objective of those who sought to establish the smelter was perhaps the smelting of concentrates or ore from abroad because we were not aware of the extensive nature of the deposits in Navan and the deposits in Tynagh; the Silvermines and Gortdrum are comparatively limited by world or Navan standards. That proposed smelter in Cork Harbour was not proceeded with. Nevertheless, the permission remains. Presumably some preliminary planning or design work has been done and the possibility is there.
I would suggest to the Minister that there is now a glorious opportunity for two of our great natural resources to be utilised very profitably for the maximum benefit of the Irish people by building a smelter somewhere on Cork Harbour and powering it by natural gas from the Kinsale Head gas field rather than have the bulk of the natural gas converted into electricity, as is proposed by the ESB for their new power station at Marina in Cork at a cost of £50 million.
I know this smelter was, like most smelters, originally designed to be powered by electricity. The quantity of power used by a smelter is so great that if one were to be established anywhere in this country it would be necessary to build a new oil fuelled power station beside it. We now have a glorious opportunity to utilise to the full two natural resources, lead and zinc and our natural gas, together for the benefit of the Irish people. As is well known, the conversion of natural gas into electricity leads to a loss in the thermal or calorific value of natural gas amounting to about 66 per cent.
That can be avoided by its direct use in the blast furnaces of a smelter. The smelter has of course to be redesigned, and it may mean slightly heavier expenditure as a result. But the saving that would come about by the more profitable use of the natural gas would be enormous. In the next year or two if we fail to start building a smelter we will have thrown away the great bulk of the value which we could have got from the discovery of lead and zinc at Navan. We will also have failed to utilise in an economic and profitable way the natural gas which will become available in a couple of years from Kinsale Head.
There are a few other points I should like to make, particularly about the development of industry in the Cork Harbour region. Over the next few years this is likely to be our most important site of new industry, due to the fortunate fact that natural gas has been found in close proximity to it. One of the very useful ways in which it is proposed to use some of this natural gas is in the building of a urea plant for Nítrigin Éireann Teoranta, which comes under the aegis of the Minister for Industry and Commerce. The only sad thing about that is that unfortunately Nítrigin Éireann Teoranta will be able to use only a small proportion of the natural gas which becomes available, and the bulk of it will go to the ESB and, comparatively speaking, will be wasted by conversion into electricity.
The planning of the NET plant for the manufacture of urea direct from natural gas is proceeding. Unfortunately, foreign consultants were appointed to supervise the operation generally, as happened in relation to other aspects of our natural gas, and in particular the pipeline, where the British Gas Corporation were appointed. In the case of the NET plant the consultants appointed were Messrs. Kelloggs, an American firm having a large office in Britain, from which they operate in this part of the world. An important part of the sub-contract for the building of this plant consisted of steel fabrication. The value of the steel fabrication sub-contract is in excess of £500,000. It was tendered for by an Irish firm who were looked over by Kelloggs before they were asked to tender and were found to be a firm capable of carrying out the necessary work at the necessary high standard within the time stipulated. They duly tendered. Long negotiations took place in the course of which they were informed by a director of NET that they had been successful and that their tender would be accepted.
A week or so after they were informed of that they found, to their horror, that their tender had been refused and that a British sub-contractor, Farmer & Sons, was awarded this valuable sub-contract instead. The view of Messrs Kelloggs was that Irish firms had not sufficient experience in this type of work and that there was no guarantee that they would carry it out within the time limit.
This is only one example in relation to the difficulties facing Irish contractors, sub-contractors and industrialists generally in relation to tendering for work arising out of big developments in Cork Harbour. There are numerous other examples; the bringing in of the British Gas Corporation being one of them. I know that Deputies Tunney and Gene Fitzgerald have more examples they wish to put to the House in respect of these matters. It is highly regrettable that Irish firms are constantly not obtaining these contracts. It comes back to the old IDA mentality: "Because you have never done exactly this before, therefore we cannot be 100 per cent certain you are capable of doing it." Nobody, it appears, is prepared to take even 1 per cent of a chance with an Irish businessman or an Irish industrialist. That is an appalling outlook and it will strangle our industrialists and our industrial development.
If contracts such as this, the fabricating of £600,000 worth of steel for NET, is being refused to a highly competent Irish firm in Dublin—the only Irish firm found worthy of being asked to tender and agreed by all and sundry who saw it as being absolutely competent in every way is turned down, not on the grounds of price but on grounds of inexperience, what hope have they of getting contracts worth millions, perhaps tens of millions, in the building of oil rigs which no Irish firm up to now has been able to do? How will firms gain experience in order that Ireland will obtain its full benefit of the entire spin-offs of the discovery of natural gas and, hopefully, oil? They will not be able to do it if all the time they are shot down on the grounds that they never did exactly this before.
The firm I am talking about has done work close to this, not quite as big or as complex but they were perfectly competent to do it and could bring in advisers from consultancies to ensure that they could do it to the highest standard and within the time specified in the contract. Yet, they were refused. I do not want to make any point of this, but I understand that an appeal was made to the Minister personally in respect of this and his attitude was that while he would like to see contracts such as this going to an Irish firm he had been given expert advice and he did not want to over-rule it.
Irish industry is not going to make any progress, so far as benefiting from gas and oil finds is concerned, unless the Minister is prepared to over-rule expert advice. Clearly our firms have not got the experience but they will never get the experience, even ones like this which have experience of 90 per cent of this type of work, unless somebody orders the firms concerned to award the sub-contracts to Irish firms. In the cases we have been talking about in relation to Cork Harbour it is not private firms that are making the decisions. One is NET which is a semi-State body and another is An Bord Gás, an entirely State-owned operation, that was allowed to bring in the British Gas Corporation. If State and semi-State bodies are going to do this, one can hardly expect private firms, particularly foreign privately-owned firms, to do anything else. The outlook for our industrialists and technologists in regard to benefits from the development of gas and oil must, accordingly, look very bleak.
As an alternative to the capital intensive nature of the grants which we have been giving up to now and of the side effects of the tax exemptions one can suggest fairly glibly and readily labour subsidies of some kind rather than the capital subsidies which, in effect, the present grants amount to. The type of labour subsidy I have in mind is something on the lines of the premium employment programme introduced as a result of the second official budget in June last. It is easy to say that was a failure and that we should, therefore, forget about schemes of that kind. Unfortunately, it was a failure because it seemed to be the only enlightened piece of thinking in relation to our economy and industrial and employment problems I have seen from the Government over the last two years. From the figures given by the Minister for Labour some weeks ago the number of people who obtained employment under the scheme, but not necessarily as a result of the scheme in all cases, was 2,467. One would have hoped that by now we might have 15,000 or 20,000 employed under the scheme, the great majority of whom would have been employed as a result of the scheme, but instead the figure is distressingly small.
The premium employment programme which is a form of labour subsidy does not work in its present form but that is not to say that it would not work if it were in a more attractive or useful form. The Government should look hard at the various restrictions on that scheme and try to remove as many of them as possible. In particular, they should remove the necessity that a person had to sign for four weeks and be in receipt of unemployment benefit or assistance for that period before they could come in under the scheme. At present a large number of school leavers are unemployed—it is variously estimated at between 10,000 and 20,000 and it might be greater—but none of these people can avail of the scheme. It is not really a scheme for job creation; It is a scheme for getting recipients of unemployment benefit or assistance out of that category. One of the other major drawbacks about it is that if a firm has declined in its employment figure since 20th June last, it has to get back up to its figure of that date before it can start to bring in people under the scheme. The scheme does not apply to the industry to which it could most profitably and usefully be employed, the construction industry. People could be brought in overnight in the construction industry, the most flexible of all our industries if this scheme applied to it.
It is worth the Minister's while to reflect on the fact that on 15th September, which is the last date for which we have figures for individuals, there were 21,950 unemployed in the building industry. A vast number could be put back to work almost overnight if some simple steps advocated in this House by this party were taken by the Government. Unfortunately, those steps have not been taken; but even if the Government were adamant in not increasing the loan level of £4,500 and the ridiculously low income limit for SDA loans, a lot more building could be got under way and many of the 21,950 could be got back to work if the premium employment programme were applied to them. It should be extended out of all proportion to the very limited way in which it was introduced in June last. It should be looked at as a positive programme for the creation of jobs, and all those provisos and conditions should no longer be expected to apply to it.
This form of labour subsidy applies in other countries and Dr. Ciaran Kennedy refers to it as applying in certain regions of Germany. There the method by which it operates is that a worker who is brought into employment finds that his employer is paid by the State an amount equal to the social welfare payment that would have been made to the worker if he had not been taken into that job. Therefore the employer is only called on to pay the difference between the social welfare benefit the worker would have got and the full wage.
That, of course, is a much higher incentive than the £12.50, or whatever the figure is, under the premium employment scheme here. What is important is not that it is only £12. What has damaged it is that it is available to such a very limited number of people and industries that it has unhappily, I regret to say, proved to be very much less successful than one would have hoped. It covered only 1,207 people between June and November at a time when unemployment continued at a fantastic rate.
Mention of the system that applies as a labour subsidy in some of the regions of Germany brings me to the point that clearly something of that kind is an incentive to work and we will seriously have to ask ourselves whether the social welfare system as it has operated here in the last year or two is not a serious disincentive to work in certain circumstances. I can quote examples constantly being given to me every day of the week where it would pay A, B, C or D not to work.
I do not want it to be taken from this that I am critical of a good general social welfare system and in particular I do not want to be taken as being critical of the dole system, which this party first introduced more than 40 years ago; but I am critical of the ways in which it has been abused in the last two years, not necessarily by recipients, though there have been and always will be individual abuses of it. I am critical of what I would regard as the abuse by the Government of that system generally, and I believe that in certain instances and circumstances this has created a serious disincentive to work, particularly in regard to those who are in the higher level of receipt of social welfare benefits of one kind or another.
If this were not so I do not think men would be talking today about what they call their right to redundancy. It is a right I would never have thought existed. I have had people approach me with the complaint that they had been seven years in a factory and that they had to continue to work at a time when men with only three years service were redundant, and I was asked did I not consider it to be fair that those with longer service should have the first right to become redundant. I had hoped that redundancy was the kind of thing the average worker would like to avoid, but I wonder from what one hears is that so: does the average worker want to avoid redundancy in all circumstances? I am not clear that all do.
I think there have been arguments in this House on Estimates and Bills for social welfare about whether in any circumstances the income of a particular worker would be higher if he were not at work rather than when he was, and I think the Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Social Welfare became fairly annoyed about this being suggested and he produced an elaborate table in which he showed that only in one minor instance at one particular point of the scale, did the income on paper of a person who was out of work exceed that of somebody who was in work, assuming that originally they both had the same wage.
That is true on paper but not in practice. This is what an increasing number of workers are beginning to find. It is in this that the difficulties for Irish industry in the future may well lie just as much as any failure of the IDA or the Minister to adapt policies or incentives. I have people coming to me and rather plaintively saying: "I am earning £35 a week. I am paying differential rent, income tax and social welfare contributions. I have £X net left when I have everything paid and I have a wife and two children to support. I see John Smith down the road who was in the same job earning the same wages and he is now getting social welfare benefit of £Y. He is paying no income tax or social welfare contributions and because of the differential rents system his rent has dropped from £5 to £2. When he has his various weekly payments made he has so much in his pocket."
I doubt if there is a Deputy in the House to whom the same examples have not been given, but all of us are afraid to talk about it. We are told that recent happenings in the western area arise directly out of these kinds of payments. Because the topic has not been discussed does not mean it is not one that may have a bearing on the size of our unemployment figures today. The wheel has turned a full circle from the marches of other years when people today talk of their right to redundancy, their right to be unemployed.
If we are seriously interested in our industrial development and in increasing productive employment we must fully consider what I have been saying in regard to the relationship between social welfare benefits and the net available income by comparison with the net available income of those who are employed. Every day of the week I hear in increasing volume from people working: "Here am I paying high income tax, high social welfare and so on. Am I not part of a diminishing group now supporting an ever-increasing group of those without work? How long can this go on?"
He is only partly right. Those who are working, paying social welfare and other contributions, are only partially supporting those who are not working. The remainder of the support for those out of work, the majority of whom are idle through no wish of their own, comes from foreign borrowing. We are rapidly nearing the situation when the desire of the Government to borrow abroad does not seem to be diminishing but perhaps the willingness of the lenders abroad will decline when they see the money lent spent on non-capital purposes, on current Government expenditure. Paradoxically the very thing that would save the country from what must be economic ruin if present policies continue to be pursued, would be the unwillingness of our lenders to lend because when they stop lending for current purposes and insist that borrowed money be used for capital investment then we might see a little reality in the economic management of the country. We might see unemployment figures begin to go down for the first time in three years; we might see industrial output beginning to go up; we might see the volume of exports begin to rise and we might even see what I should like to see, the volume of our imports of raw materials begin to rise again because that would be a sign that recovery was beginning to operate. Unfortunately that day has not yet come but for every hour it is put off the difficulties will increase.
I have tried as fairly and as objectively as I can to put before the House numerous points and aspects of industrial and economic policy that should at least be considered even if, on examination, all of them were found not to be fully warranted. At least I have endeavoured to make suggestions and outline roughly certain avenues that might be explored, certain policy reappraisals that are necessary in respect of policies that we have accepted as almost sacrosanct for the past 15 or 16 years. The Minister failed to make such a reappraisal at a time when it was never more necessary. I hope that in his reply to the debate he will expand reasonably the views of the Government on how an unemployment figure of over 107,000 can be countered; how our industrial grants and tax incentive policies can be altered in order to improve employment. I hope if he deals with these matters he will not confine himself to criticism of the shortcomings or alleged shortcomings of what I have said but that he will give the positive views of the Government on these matters and a positive and definite indication of what this new Bill, about which he spoke in his introductory statement, will contain and when we may expect to see it.
Many things are alleged in this House from time to time for political reasons to be urgent but if this country is to survive in anything like the way we have known it in the past and if it is to be able to hold its own in the EEC in the future and in the world generally no Bill is more urgent, more badly needed than a Bill which would bring about a reappraisal of our industrial policy and a drastic reduction in the shortest possible time in the incredibly high figure for unemployment that we have today.