Dáil Éireann Debate, Tuesday - 2 April 2019
140. Deputy Pearse Doherty asked the Minister for Public Expenditure and Reform the breakdown of the components of pre-committed expenditure in each year from 2019 to 2024 or the latest available date; and the gross figures for pre-committed expenditure in each year in tabular form. [15213/19]
Amharc ar fhreagra142. Deputy Pearse Doherty asked the Minister for Public Expenditure and Reform the projections for expenditure to account for demographics from 2019 to 2024, inclusive, or the latest available date in tabular form. [15215/19]
Amharc ar fhreagraI propose to take Questions Nos. 140 and 142 together.
Table 9 on page 45 of Expenditure Report 2019 sets out the revised baseline for current expenditure out to 2021 after taking account of pre-commitments in relation to demographic pressures, public service pay agreements, and the estimated carryover impact of certain budget measures.
Expenditure Report 2019 sets out demographic costs of €0.45 billion for 2020 and 2021. These estimates are informed by the Irish Government Economic and Evaluation Service (IGEES) paper ‘Budgetary Impacts of Changing Demographics 2017 – 2027’. These are included in multi-annual Ministerial expenditure ceilings for Health, Social Protection and Education. Beyond 2022, the IGEES paper suggests demographic costs of approximately €0.4 billion per year, however these figures will be subject to review in the near future. Amounts are also included for public service pay agreements in table 6, on page 42 of Expenditure Report 2019. These resources are included on an aggregate basis and are to be allocated to the relevant Ministerial Vote groups as part of the annual Estimates process.
An amount of €0.4 billion is included for the Public Service Stability Agreement for 2020 and €0.3 billion for 2021. Table 7, on page 43 of Expenditure Report 2019 sets out the carryover impact of certain current expenditure measures announced as part of Budget 2019, amounting to €0.3 billion. As these estimates relate to measures being implemented in 2019, they will be impacted by the actual cost and timing of implementation and consequently the estimated costs will be reassessed during 2019 and set out in the Mid-Year Expenditure Report. As outlined in Expenditure Report 2019, these costs would need to be met from the remaining unallocated resources in the absence of any re-prioritisation of expenditure identified during the Estimates process, informed by the Spending Review. These costs, as included in the Expenditure Report 2019, for the period out to 2021 are set out in the following table.
Pre-committed Gross Voted Current Expenditure 2020 - 2021
|
- |
2020 |
2021 |
|
- |
€bn |
€bn |
|
Demographics |
451 |
454 |
|
Pay Agreements |
390 |
261 |
|
Carryover of Budget 2019 Decisions |
311 |
|
|
Total Current |
1,152 |
715 |
Planned capital investment levels out to 2027 have been set out under the National Development Plan, allowing for long-term planning of infrastructural investment in Ireland. The amounts included for Exchequer Public Capital Expenditure, as set out in the Revised Estimates Volume 2019, out to 2022, and the NDP in later years are set out in the following table.
Exchequer Public Capital Expenditure 2020 - 2027
|
- |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
|
- |
€bn |
€bn |
€bn |
€bn |
€bn |
€bn |
€bn |
€bn |
|
Exchequer Gross Voted Capital |
8.1 |
8.7 |
8.9 |
9.4 |
10 |
10.5 |
11 |
11.6 |
